{"id":14134,"date":"2024-02-09T09:39:56","date_gmt":"2024-02-09T12:39:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/?p=14134"},"modified":"2024-02-09T09:39:56","modified_gmt":"2024-02-09T12:39:56","slug":"informe-csis-un-mundo-en-division-pronostico-sobre-conflictos-armados-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/?p=14134","title":{"rendered":"Informe CSIS &#8220;Un mundo en divisi\u00f3n&#8221;, pron\u00f3stico sobre conflictos armados 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Un mundo en divisi\u00f3n examina los conflictos que se desarrollan en dos escenarios: Ucrania y Oriente Medio.\u00a0Dos a\u00f1os despu\u00e9s de la invasi\u00f3n rusa de Ucrania, los acad\u00e9micos del CSIS analizan las perspectivas del campo de batalla, si se mantendr\u00e1 el apoyo occidental a Ucrania. Al mismo tiempo, los expertos pronostican las posibles consecuencias a largo plazo del conflicto entre Israel y Hamas para la geopol\u00edtica y la seguridad de Medio Oriente, as\u00ed como para la econom\u00eda regional.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"Theme-Layer-BodyText-Dropcap Theme-TextSize-default\"><span class=\"Theme-ForegroundColorCustom-Atww3R\">The last two years have witnessed significant global developments that brought geopolitics back to center stage and exacerbated global divisions. The CSIS 2024 Global Forecast\u2014<em>A World Dividing<\/em>\u2014offers insights from dozens of CSIS scholars on the most urgent questions for the year ahead around security, technology, geoeconomics, alliances, and regional influence.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"\"><span class=\"Theme-ForegroundColorCustom-Atww3R\">This third installment of\u00a0<em>A World Dividing\u00a0<\/em>examines conflicts raging in two theaters: Ukraine and the Middle East. Two years into Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine, CSIS scholars analyze the battlefield outlook, whether Western support for Ukraine will hold, and how to begin rebuilding the Ukrainian economy. At the same time, experts forecast the possible long-term consequences of the Israel-Hamas conflict for Middle East geopolitics and security, as well as the regional economy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"\"><span class=\"Theme-ForegroundColorCustom-Atww3R\">This volume follows the first two installments of\u00a0<em>A World Dividing<\/em>, which explore the myriad issues facing U.S.-China competition in 2024 and the rapidly shifting contours of global economic and technology competition. The issues examined in the next installment are of equal importance, with expert insights on the defining factors in the battle for influence in the Global South.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"\"><span class=\"Theme-ForegroundColorCustom-Atww3R\">We invite you to explore the diverse perspectives shared in our 2024 Global Forecast to deepen your thinking on these key issues.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/240201_GlobalForecast_2024_ConflictZones.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5168\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/icono-PDF-1-150x150.png\" alt=\"Descargar archivo pdf\" width=\"72\" height=\"89\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/icono-PDF-1-243x300.png 243w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/icono-PDF-1.png 310w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 72px) 100vw, 72px\" \/><\/a><strong>Fuente:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/features.csis.org\/global-forecast-conflict-zones\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>https:\/\/features.csis.org<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Un mundo en divisi\u00f3n examina los conflictos que se desarrollan en dos escenarios: Ucrania y Oriente Medio.\u00a0Dos a\u00f1os despu\u00e9s de la invasi\u00f3n rusa de Ucrania,&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14136,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[18,28],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14134"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14134"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14134\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14137,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14134\/revisions\/14137"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/14136"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14134"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14134"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14134"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}