{"id":15869,"date":"2024-11-11T08:26:12","date_gmt":"2024-11-11T11:26:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/?p=15869"},"modified":"2024-11-11T08:26:12","modified_gmt":"2024-11-11T11:26:12","slug":"como-la-nueva-gestion-presidencial-podria-afectar-el-presupuesto-de-defensa-de-eeuu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/?p=15869","title":{"rendered":"Como la nueva gesti\u00f3n presidencial podr\u00eda afectar el presupuesto de defensa de EEUU"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>En el reciente art\u00edculo del sitio especializado DEFENSE NEWS, expertos expresaron que si bien es muy reciente a\u00fan para realizar pron\u00f3sticos acerca de c\u00f3mo la nueva gesti\u00f3n presidencial podr\u00eda afectar el presupuesto de defensa de EEUU, auguran que posiblemente haya incrementos en las asignaciones espec\u00edficas para modernizaci\u00f3n y equipamiento de las FFAA, pero tambi\u00e9n la reducci\u00f3n de la asistencia a pa\u00edses en conflicto e incluso la revisi\u00f3n de la necesidad de tener tropas desplegadas alrededor del mundo, en sitios que no resultan vitales para los intereses geopol\u00edticos y estrat\u00e9gicos de ese pa\u00eds. Esto genera inquietud en determinados sectores de la industria de defensa, que han realizado importantes inversiones en sus l\u00edneas de producci\u00f3n, para abastecer de materiales y equipamiento cr\u00edtico a pa\u00edses aliados.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Former president Donald Trump won reelection Tuesday, a night of voting that led to Republicans taking control of the Senate and potentially holding their House majority.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">The chance for a governing trifecta, which would repeat the first two years of Trump\u2019s term, already has some in Congress, the Pentagon and think tanks wondering what it means for the defense budget.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">While it\u2019s too early to forecast with confidence, analysts who spoke to Defense News said, the return of a Trump presidency will likely augur a larger defense budget, though less security aid for American partners abroad like Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"What a second Trump presidency could mean for the defense budget\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/v2V-7t3piE4\" width=\"315\" height=\"560\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Part of why its so difficult to predict the effects of a second Trump term is that there is less Republican consensus on defense spending, said Mark Cancian, who studies security budgets at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Whereas the right once almost uniformly supported higher military spending, it\u2019s now split into three main camps, he argued.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">The first is traditional defense hawks, such as former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who favor a more assertive military and funding to support one. The second is budget hawks, like the House Freedom Caucus, who are most concerned with bloated government spending and would in some cases favor cuts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">And the third is the \u201cAmerica First\u201d wing of the Republican Party, such as Trump\u2019s final acting Secretary of Defense Chris Miller, who are skeptical that America\u2019s military needs to maintain so many missions around the world, and may also support cuts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">What faction will prevail won\u2019t start to become clear until a future Trump Cabinet is set, Cancian said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">\u201cUntil we get some sense of that, we\u2019re just guessing,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Clear telltales will be the nominees to become secretary of defense and director of the Office of Management and Budget, said Mackenzie Eaglen, an expert on the defense budget at the American Enterprise Institute.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">\u201cThe first thing that matters is the OMB director,\u201d she said, noting the office\u2019s role in managing government budget requests.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">By Eaglen\u2019s count, Trump oversaw a massive hike in defense spending during his first term \u2014 some $225 billion higher than projected from the late Obama years. Defense hawks in Congress are counting on a repeat of that trend, and will have more power to force it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Sen. Roger Wicker, R-Miss., published a memo earlier this year calling for a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wicker.senate.gov\/services\/files\/BC957888-0A93-432F-A49E-6202768A9CE0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$55 billion surge in defense spending<\/a>. The paper helped increase the Senate Armed Services Committee budget bill, though by less than half that number. With Republicans taking control of the Senate, Wicker will now chair that committee and can push for further increases.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Republican aides in Congress, when asked by Defense News, signaled confidence that a second Trump term would increase the military budget, though cautioning that it\u2019s still too early to predict.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Congress hasn\u2019t passed either of its two main defense bills this fiscal year, instead operating on a short-term spending bill that lasts through December.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">While those will in all likelihood pass eventually, now that control of both chamber is becoming clear, the large security aid packages America has been sending to Ukraine are far less certain. The U.S. has committed more than $60 billion in security aid so far during the Biden administration \u2014 much of it going to American arms companies \u2014 gleaned from additional spending bills passed by Congress.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">\u201cWill there be any more supplementals?\u201d Eaglen said, arguing that Taiwan and Israel had better chances of maintaining American aid.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Trump has said his main priority is ending the war with Russia, without committing to an outcome first. If Trump did abruptly end American assistance, it also risks a whiplash for defense firms that have expanded their product lines to meet Ukraine\u2019s needs, Cancian said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 kEzXdV body-paragraph body-paragraph\">\u201cThat\u2019s industry\u2019s great worry,\u201d Cancian said, though he was skeptical the shift would be too abrupt for firms to adjust.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Fuente:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/pentagon\/2024\/11\/07\/what-a-second-trump-presidency-could-mean-for-the-defense-budget\/?utm_source=sailthru&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=dfn-dnr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>https:\/\/www.defensenews.com<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>En el reciente art\u00edculo del sitio especializado DEFENSE NEWS, expertos expresaron que si bien es muy reciente a\u00fan para realizar pron\u00f3sticos acerca de c\u00f3mo la&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15870,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[37,28],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15869"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15869"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15869\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15871,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15869\/revisions\/15871"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/15870"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15869"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15869"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15869"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}