{"id":17572,"date":"2025-09-25T09:08:52","date_gmt":"2025-09-25T12:08:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/?p=17572"},"modified":"2025-09-25T09:08:52","modified_gmt":"2025-09-25T12:08:52","slug":"identificacion-de-posibles-medidas-de-preparacion-ante-amenazas-biologicas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/?p=17572","title":{"rendered":"Identificaci\u00f3n de posibles medidas de preparaci\u00f3n ante amenazas biol\u00f3gicas"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Si bien el progreso en las ciencias y tecnolog\u00edas biol\u00f3gicas ofrecer\u00e1 m\u00e1s oportunidades para mejorar el bienestar humano en las pr\u00f3ximas d\u00e9cadas, este progreso tambi\u00e9n podr\u00eda reducir las barreras que impiden que agentes maliciosos dise\u00f1en pat\u00f3genos para causar destrucci\u00f3n. En casos graves, los da\u00f1os de futuros ataques biol\u00f3gicos podr\u00edan aproximarse a la magnitud de las peores plagas de la historia, desde la devastaci\u00f3n causada por la peste negra hasta las epidemias que diezmaron las sociedades mesoamericanas tras el contacto inicial con los europeos.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Although progress in biological sciences and technologies will offer more opportunities to improve human well-being in the coming decades, this progress may also lower barriers that are blocking bad actors from engineering pathogens to cause destruction. In severe cases, the harms of future biological attacks may approach the magnitudes of the worst plagues of history\u2014from the devastation wrought by the Black Death to the epidemics that decimated Mesoamerican societies after initial European contact.<\/p>\n<p>In this report, the authors offer initial frameworks for thinking about how the United States could achieve resilience against three biological threat scenarios: (1) a\u00a0<i>fast<\/i>\u00a0scenario, challenging countermeasures\u00a0with a rapidly spreading outbreak of a lethal human-to-human-transmissible pathogen; (2) a\u00a0<i>silent<\/i>\u00a0scenario, challenging detection\u00a0with a pathogen that infects much of the population before infected people display visible symptoms; and (3) a\u00a0<i>saturating<\/i>\u00a0scenario, challenging countermeasures\u00a0involving a pathogen that replicates and persists in the environment.<\/p>\n<p>The authors recommend actions that governments and civil society can take to work toward resilience, including more in-depth research to better understand these scenarios and possible defenses.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/RAND_RRA4036-1.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5168\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/icono-PDF-1-243x300.png\" alt=\"Descargar archivo pdf\" width=\"75\" height=\"93\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/icono-PDF-1-243x300.png 243w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/icono-PDF-1.png 310w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 75px) 100vw, 75px\" \/><\/a><strong>Fuente: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rand.org\/pubs\/research_reports\/RRA4036-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>https:\/\/www.rand.org<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Si bien el progreso en las ciencias y tecnolog\u00edas biol\u00f3gicas ofrecer\u00e1 m\u00e1s oportunidades para mejorar el bienestar humano en las pr\u00f3ximas d\u00e9cadas, este progreso tambi\u00e9n&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":17574,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[36,24],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17572"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17572"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17572\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17575,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17572\/revisions\/17575"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/17574"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17572"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17572"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17572"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}