{"id":18260,"date":"2026-02-11T07:38:37","date_gmt":"2026-02-11T10:38:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/?p=18260"},"modified":"2026-02-11T07:38:37","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T10:38:37","slug":"la-era-de-control-de-armas-nucleares-de-paso-a-una-nueva-carrera-armamentista-nuclear","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/?p=18260","title":{"rendered":"La era de control de armas nucleares de paso a una nueva carrera armamentista nuclear"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El art\u00edculo del New York Times analiza las consecuencias de la finalizaci\u00f3n el 05Feb26 del\u00a0tratado New START, \u00faltimo acuerdo para el Control de Armas Nucleares entre EEUU y Rusia, vigente desde 1972. Esta decisi\u00f3n marca un hito hist\u00f3rico, ya que por primera vez en m\u00e1s de 50 a\u00f1os, las dos mayores potencias at\u00f3micas del mundo operan sin restricciones en sus arsenales estrat\u00e9gicos. El texto destaca la creciente preocupaci\u00f3n de expertos y organismos como la ONU, ante el riesgo inminente de una nueva carrera armamentista global. La desaparici\u00f3n del tratado, no solo elimina los topes de misiles y ojivas, sino tambi\u00e9n de los mecanismos de inspecci\u00f3n mutua que garantizaban transparencia. En un contexto de alta tensi\u00f3n por el conflicto en Ucrania y la expansi\u00f3n militar de China, el art\u00edculo advierte que el mundo entra en una era de profunda incertidumbre nuclear, donde la estabilidad depender\u00e1 m\u00e1s de la moderaci\u00f3n pol\u00edtica de los estados y no de las obligaciones jur\u00eddicas.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-0\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">The deadline has been looming over Washington and Moscow for years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">On Thursday, the last nuclear arms control treaty between the United States and Russia expired. For the first time since 1972, it leaves both superpowers with no limits on the size or structure of their arsenals, at the very moment both are planning new generations of nuclear weapons and newly evasive means of delivering the deadly warheads.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Despite a new era of superpower confrontation, talks over a new treaty \u2014 or even an informal extension of the current one \u2014 never got off the ground, frozen by the war in Ukraine. When President Trump was asked in January why he had not taken up President Vladimir V. Putin\u2019s offer for a one-year informal extension, he shrugged.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">\u201cIf it expires, it expires,\u201d he told The New York Times in an interview. \u201cWe\u2019ll do a better agreement\u201d after the expiration, he insisted, adding that China, which has the world\u2019s fastest-growing nuclear arsenal, and \u201cother parties\u201d should be part of any future accord. The Chinese have made clear they are not interested.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">On Thursday afternoon, after the New START treaty\u2019s expiration, Mr. Trump reiterated his call for a new accord, denouncing the previous one as \u201ca badly negotiated deal\u201d and declaring on social media that \u201cwe should have our nuclear experts work on a new, improved, and modernized treaty that can last long into the future.\u201d But he said nothing about agreeing with Mr. Putin to freeze American and Russian arsenals at current levels, leaving open the possibility of a renewed arms race.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"><\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-1\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">In fact, the United States has been preparing for that possibility, and the Navy is already preparing to deploy more nuclear warheads on its biggest submarines. Meanwhile, Russia and China are now testing new types and configurations of nuclear weapons that few envisioned when the Senate, by a narrow margin, ratified New START in 2010.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Arms control was not supposed to end this way.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">When President Richard M. Nixon signed the first arms limitation treaty with the Soviet Union, the banner headlines signaled a new era in which even the most hostile of Cold War rivals saw the danger of letting the arms race spin out of control.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_18262\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18262\" style=\"width: 2048px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-18262\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-02-tklg-superJumbo.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1449\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-02-tklg-superJumbo.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-02-tklg-superJumbo-300x212.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-02-tklg-superJumbo-1024x725.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-02-tklg-superJumbo-768x543.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-02-tklg-superJumbo-1536x1087.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-02-tklg-superJumbo-700x496.jpg 700w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18262\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">President Richard M. Nixon shaking hands with Leonid Brezhnev, Russia\u2019s leader, after signing the Strategic Arms Limitation agreement in Moscow in 1972. Credit Associated Press<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-2\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Those early efforts had so many loopholes that the Soviet and American arsenals grew fast, peaking at roughly 62,000 nuclear arms in the late 1980s. But then the numbers fell, treaty by treaty. By 2009, President Barack Obama, speaking to thunderous applause in Prague, vowed to pursue \u201ca world without nuclear weapons,\u201d though he conceded the abolition might not come in his lifetime.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"><\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-3\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Few post-Cold War predictions have collapsed as dramatically as that one. As Vipin Narang and Pranay Vaddi, two of the nation\u2019s leading nuclear strategists, who both served in the Biden administration, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/united-states\/how-survive-new-nuclear-age-narang-vaddi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">wrote recently<\/a>: \u201cNuclear weapons are back with a vengeance.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"><\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"InteractiveBlock-7\">\n<section id=\"datawrapper_rPihV\" class=\"interactive-content interactive-size-medium css-14l1964\" data-testid=\"inline-interactive\" data-id=\"100000010686926\" data-uri=\"nyt:\/\/embeddedinteractive\/3e8545f3-b145-5dbb-9b72-3f4df474a1d5\" data-source-id=\"100000010686926\">\n<header id=\"interactive-header\" class=\"css-obecq5 interactive-header\">\n<p id=\"interactive-headline\" class=\"css-4hk76s interactive-headline\"><strong>While the U.S. and Russia have cut down their stockpiles &#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/header>\n<div id=\"embed-id-100000010686926\" class=\"css-17ih8de interactive-body\" data-sourceid=\"100000010686926\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/rPihV\/13\/?plain=1\" width=\"100%\" height=\"309\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<footer id=\"interactive-footer\" class=\"css-1rs1qmn interactive-footer\">\n<p id=\"interactive-credit\" class=\"css-jagbsj interactive-credit\" data-testid=\"credit\">\n<\/footer>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"InteractiveBlock-8\">\n<section id=\"datawrapper_Ifo0S\" class=\"interactive-content interactive-size-scoop css-174j8de\" data-testid=\"inline-interactive\" data-id=\"100000010688042\" data-uri=\"nyt:\/\/embeddedinteractive\/88f37f8b-05c5-56c0-b587-b451aeb32b29\" data-source-id=\"100000010688042\">\n<header id=\"interactive-header\" class=\"css-obecq5 interactive-header\">\n<p id=\"interactive-headline\" class=\"css-4hk76s interactive-headline\"><strong>&#8230; other countries are building up their nuclear arsenals.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/header>\n<div id=\"embed-id-100000010688042\" class=\"css-17ih8de interactive-body\" data-sourceid=\"100000010688042\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/Ifo0S\/3\/?plain=1\" width=\"100%\" height=\"298\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<footer id=\"interactive-footer\" class=\"css-1rs1qmn interactive-footer\">\n<p id=\"interactive-source\" class=\"css-jagbsj interactive-source\" data-testid=\"source\">Source: Federation of American Scientists Ashley Cai\/The New York Times<\/p>\n<\/footer>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-4\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">The evidence is everywhere, from Mr. Putin\u2019s plans for undersea and space-based nuclear arms to Xi Jinping\u2019s decision to abandon China\u2019s \u201cminimum deterrent\u201d and build an arsenal clearly designed to rival those of Washington and Moscow.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Mr. Trump\u2019s first-term vow to disarm North Korea pushed the reclusive nation in the other direction, and his second-term confrontations with Europe have led its leaders to wonder if they can count on America\u2019s \u201cnuclear umbrella\u201d \u2014 the promise that Washington would come to the defense of nonnuclear allies if they ever came under nuclear attack.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Not surprisingly, they\u2019re now talking about establishing nuclear forces independent of Washington\u2019s.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"><\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-5\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Mr. Trump\u2019s National Security Strategy, issued in December, barely touches on these new dynamics. Only the <a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/media.defense.gov\/2025\/Dec\/23\/2003849070\/-1\/-1\/1\/ANNUAL-REPORT-TO-CONGRESS-MILITARY-AND-SECURITY-DEVELOPMENTS-INVOLVING-THE-PEOPLES-REPUBLIC-OF-CHINA-2025.PDF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pentagon\u2019s annual report on Chinese military power<\/a>\u00a0cites its massive buildup \u2014 600 weapons, on the way to more than 1,000 by 2030, according to U.S. intelligence estimates \u2014 and it skirts a more immediate danger: Mr. Putin\u2019s repeated, barely veiled\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/03\/09\/us\/politics\/biden-nuclear-russia-ukraine.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">threats to use nuclear weapons<\/a>\u00a0on the battlefield in Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Mr. Trump is hardly the only one arguing that China needs to be part of any new arms control effort. As Beijing and Moscow maneuver in an uneasy cooperative effort to challenge the United States, a growing number of experts argue that the two nuclear superpowers could coordinate their nuclear strategy \u2014 ultimately prompting Washington to deploy hundreds of additional weapons.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Earlier this week, Mr. Obama, who pushed through New START,\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BarackObama\/status\/2018323947230540249\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">warned<\/a>\u00a0that the United States was about to \u201cpointlessly wipe out decades of diplomacy, and could spark another arms race.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Yet what stands out in Thursday\u2019s expiration of the New START treaty is the lack of public discussion on the best way forward for American strategy, in contrast to how it once dominated presidential debates, policy arguments, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/1972\/05\/27\/archives\/a-first-step-but-a-major-stride-strategic-arms-accord-a-first-but.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">newspaper headlines<\/a>\u00a0and Hollywood films.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">From the 1950s to the early 1990s, every serious politician on the national stage was expected to be conversant in the subject. Henry Kissinger\u2019s \u201cNuclear Weapons and Foreign Policy\u201d was a best seller. \u201cDr. Strangelove\u201d captured the nation\u2019s deep anxieties.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-6\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">While there are <a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/11\/02\/movies\/house-of-dynamite-missile-strike-nuke-movies.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">glimpses today<\/a>\u00a0of renewed concerns, there is little public discussion about whether the Trump administration is countering the reinvigorated nuclear threat or fueling it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Still, in the arms control world, many agree with elements of Mr. Trump\u2019s argument that New START aged poorly and that a new treaty needs added participants.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">\u201cYou wouldn\u2019t negotiate the same treaty again,\u201d Rafael Grossi, the director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, the United Nations\u2019 nuclear inspection body, said in an interview in the agency\u2019s Vienna headquarters. \u201cThere are new technologies that are not covered by the treaty \u2014 hypersonic missiles, undersea nuclear weapons, space weapons. And there are many other countries that, for one reason or another, feel now as if they may need a nuclear arsenal of their own.\u201d<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_18263\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18263\" style=\"width: 1363px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-18263\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-03-tklg-superJumbo.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1363\" height=\"2048\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-03-tklg-superJumbo.jpg 1363w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-03-tklg-superJumbo-200x300.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-03-tklg-superJumbo-682x1024.jpg 682w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-03-tklg-superJumbo-768x1154.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-03-tklg-superJumbo-1022x1536.jpg 1022w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1363px) 100vw, 1363px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18263\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u201cYou wouldn\u2019t negotiate the same treaty again,\u201d Rafael Grossi, the director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, said of New START. He pointed out that it did not cover new technologies such as hypersonic missiles and space weapons. Credit Hilary Swift for The New York Times<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-7\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Mr. Grossi, who is running for secretary general of the United Nations, was too diplomatic to name those nations. But Japan, South Korea, Turkey and Poland are among the nonnuclear weapon states now discussing whether they need to change course.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"><\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"Dropzone-16\">\n<div class=\"css-8atqhb\" data-testid=\"emptyDropzone\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-8\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">And the United States itself is doubling down. Washington is spending $87 billion this year on nuclear weapons, including a modernization of its warheads and a hugely expensive replacing of aging missiles and bombers. When Mr. Trump announced a new kind of warship known as the \u201cTrump class,\u201d he quickly added that the vessels would be armed with nuclear-capable cruise missiles, similar to some of the weapons China and Russia are now developing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">\u201cWe\u2019re seeing the end to an era of arms control,\u201d said\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cfr.org\/experts\/erin-d-dumbacher\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Erin D. Dumbacher<\/a>, a senior security fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. Washington, she added, seems to have little interest in negotiating \u201csomething as big as a follow-on to New START.\u201d<\/p>\n<p id=\"link-42859ece\" class=\"css-11zi5nh eoo0vm40\"><strong>The Umbrella: How Washington Sparked an Age of Nuclear Restraint<\/strong><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_18264\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18264\" style=\"width: 2048px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-18264\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-04-tklg-superJumbo.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1620\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-04-tklg-superJumbo.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-04-tklg-superJumbo-300x237.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-04-tklg-superJumbo-1024x810.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-04-tklg-superJumbo-768x608.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-04-tklg-superJumbo-1536x1215.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18264\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The United States dropped an atomic bomb on Nagasaki, Japan, in 1945. Credit Associated Press<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-9\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">In late 1945, just months after the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, J. Robert Oppenheimer issued a warning about a lesson he had learned in devising those atomic bombs for the Manhattan Project.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">\u201cThey\u2019re not too hard to make,\u201d the suddenly famous physicist\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/ahf.nuclearmuseum.org\/ahf\/key-documents\/oppenheimers-farewell-speech\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">told his colleagues<\/a>\u00a0at Los Alamos, the lab in New Mexico that made the novel weapons. \u201cThey\u2019ll be universal if people wish to make them universal.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"><\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-10\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Oppenheimer\u2019s worst fears did not materialize, nor did President John F. Kennedy\u2019s grim prediction that by 1975 there could be up to 20 nuclear-armed states.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">There are several reasons their predictions proved too pessimistic, but a central factor was the U.S. \u201cnuclear umbrella.\u201d While the United States helped two close allies \u2014 Britain and France \u2014 make small nuclear arsenals, the strategy of \u201cextended deterrence\u201d kept most American allies from building their own.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_18265\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18265\" style=\"width: 2048px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-18265\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-05-tklg-superJumbo.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1668\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-05-tklg-superJumbo.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-05-tklg-superJumbo-300x244.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-05-tklg-superJumbo-1024x834.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-05-tklg-superJumbo-768x626.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-05-tklg-superJumbo-1536x1251.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18265\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u201cThey\u2019ll be universal if people wish to make them universal,\u201d J. Robert Oppenheimer, right, said of atomic bombs. Credit Associated Press<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-11\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">After the Soviet Union broke up, more than a dozen Central and Eastern European states joined the NATO alliance, and thus gained the protection of the American nuclear umbrella. All told, on and off, it covered nearly 40 nations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">To the surprise of doom-mongers, the policy helped keep the peace. Graham Allison, a Harvard political scientist who wrote the first major book about the Cuban missile crisis, the closest the Soviet Union and the United States came to a nuclear exchange, noted that \u201cif you told anyone in 1945 that we\u2019re going to see 80 years without another use of nuclear weapons in war, people would have said you\u2019re out of your mind.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"><\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-12\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Equally miraculous, he said, is that the world today has only nine nuclear-weapon states \u2014 the result of not only the umbrella but of a global nonproliferation system, overseen by Mr. Grossi of the atomic agency, that lets states develop peaceful nuclear power as long they agreed to never make atomic weapons.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Of those nine, four have refused to sign or have renounced the nonproliferation treaty so that they could build their own arsenals: India, Pakistan, Israel and North Korea. (The other five were the \u201coriginal\u201d nuclear-weapon states: the United States, Russia, China, Britain and France.)<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Each of the nine adds, in different ways, to the global challenge of safely navigating the nuclear age. Even so, the numbers, and associated risks, are much smaller than what Oppenheimer and Kennedy foresaw.<\/p>\n<p id=\"link-149eb478\" class=\"css-11zi5nh eoo0vm40\"><strong>The Disarray: How Trump Shook the Global Nuclear Order<\/strong><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_18266\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18266\" style=\"width: 2048px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-18266\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-06-tklg-superJumbo.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1366\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-06-tklg-superJumbo.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-06-tklg-superJumbo-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-06-tklg-superJumbo-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-06-tklg-superJumbo-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-06-tklg-superJumbo-1536x1025.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18266\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Mr. Trump has made it clear that he believes American safety and prosperity rank above protecting allies. Credit Eric Lee for The New York Times<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-13\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">In 1987, a New York real estate mogul by the name of Donald J. Trump decided to attack a central tenet of American foreign policy.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"><\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-14\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Our allies, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/magazine\/story\/2016\/02\/donald-trump-first-campaign-speech-new-hampshire-1987-213595\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">he wrote<\/a>\u00a0in full-page ads taken out in The New York Times and other newspapers, should \u201cpay for the protection we extend.\u201d The financial result, he added, would end deficits, cut taxes and \u201clet America\u2019s economy grow unencumbered\u201d by the need to defend rich foreigners.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Now, four decades later, his nationalist views appear to have hardened. And while Mr. Trump often speaks about the fearsome power of nuclear weapons, he has presided over the disassembly of some of the main nuclear restraints that have largely worked \u2014 with some near-misses \u2014 for eight decades.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">As he did in those ads, Mr. Trump still portrays allies as freeloaders and has made clear that in an America First world, American safety and prosperity rank above defending foreigners. His National Security Strategy\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">put it bluntly<\/a>: \u201cThe days of the United States propping up the entire world order like Atlas are over.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Mr. Trump has repeatedly cast doubt on whether he would use nuclear weapons to protect allies, although he has not formally renounced the American nuclear umbrella.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_18267\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18267\" style=\"width: 2048px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-18267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-07-tklg-superJumbo.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1365\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-07-tklg-superJumbo.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-07-tklg-superJumbo-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-07-tklg-superJumbo-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-07-tklg-superJumbo-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-07-tklg-superJumbo-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18267\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A Ukrainian soldier firing a howitzer in eastern Ukraine last month. The country\u2019s president has said that giving up the weapons it held after the collapse of the Soviet Union was a mistake. Credit Tyler Hicks\/The New York Times<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Just days after Mr. Trump\u2019s famous televised argument with President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine in the Oval Office last February, President Emmanuel Macron of France\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/03\/05\/world\/europe\/france-nuclear-europe.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">warned<\/a>\u00a0that Europe needed to prepare for America\u2019s retreat from its traditional defense commitments and rethink how it would face a belligerent Russia. Mr. Macron said he was willing to discuss extending the protection of France\u2019s nuclear arsenal to its European allies, and Germany\u2019s new chancellor, Friedrich Merz,\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2025\/mar\/09\/germany-to-reach-out-to-france-and-uk-over-sharing-of-nuclear-weapons\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">welcomed<\/a>\u00a0the possibility.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Poland\u2019s prime minister, Donald Tusk, held similar talks and\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/03\/07\/world\/europe\/poland-nuclear-trump-tusk.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">said<\/a>\u00a0his nation had to drastically build up its military and even \u201creach for opportunities related to nuclear weapons.\u201d And Mr. Zelensky has said it was a mistake to give up the weapons it held after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Early last month, as Mr. Trump\u2019s threats to take over Greenland grew louder, Stockholm\u2019s leading newspaper called for a joint Nordic nuclear arsenal independent of the United States.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">\u201cNo one wants to discuss Swedish nuclear weapons,\u201d\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dn.se\/ledare\/ingen-vill-diskutera-svenska-karnvapen-men-vi-maste\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">it declared<\/a>, \u201cbut we must.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">It is hard to know how serious the behind-the-scenes discussions are, and how much is mere talk, driven by nationalist politics or anger at Mr. Trump. But experts say\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2006\/10\/15\/world\/asia\/15nuke.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">as many as<\/a>\u00a040 nations have the technical skill, and in some cases the needed material, to build a bomb.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">The question is whether they have the political will. Gideon Rose, a foreign policy expert at Columbia University and the Council on Foreign Relations, recently\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/fpa.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/TheThirdNuclearAge.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">noted<\/a>\u00a0that the psychological barriers that bar proliferation \u201cmay already have fallen away.\u201d<\/p>\n<p id=\"link-1512e323\" class=\"css-11zi5nh eoo0vm40\"><strong>The Buildup: How Trump Bolsters the U.S. Nuclear Arsenal<\/strong><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_18268\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18268\" style=\"width: 2048px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-18268\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-08-tklg-superJumbo.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1365\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-08-tklg-superJumbo.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-08-tklg-superJumbo-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-08-tklg-superJumbo-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-08-tklg-superJumbo-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-08-tklg-superJumbo-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18268\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Ohio-class submarine, seen here in an image provided by the U.S. Marine Corps, is longer than the Washington Monument is high. Credit U.S. Marine Corps<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-16\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Already, there are signs that the Trump administration is planning to break out of the numeric limits of the New START treaty \u2014 not dramatically, but in ways that could easily trigger a new arms race. Along the way, they will make the most deadly element of the American arsenal even more deadly.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">That increase centers on the nation\u2019s Ohio-class submarines. The undersea craft, 14 in all, are the largest in the American fleet. Each one is 560 feet long \u2014 longer than the Washington Monument is high.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Each submarine is built with 24 tubes that can launch missiles, and each missile carries up to eight nuclear warheads. They include some that are 30 times more powerful than the bomb that destroyed Hiroshima.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">To comply with the limits of New START, the\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.navy.mil\/Resources\/Fact-Files\/Display-FactFiles\/Article\/2169580\/fleet-ballistic-missile-submarines-ssbn\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Navy disabled<\/a>\u00a0four tubes on each sub. Now, relieved of those restrictions, plans are moving ahead to reopen the tubes \u2014 allowing the loading of four more missiles onto each sub.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">For the Ohio fleet overall, that\u2019s 56 more missiles and possibly hundreds more warheads, each of which can be aimed at a different target.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"><\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-17\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Mr. Trump has never discussed that plan, or given a speech on his nuclear strategy, although he signed an executive order to create a <a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/05\/20\/us\/politics\/trump-golden-dome.html\">\u201cGolden Dome\u201d<\/a>\u00a0defense system meant to intercept rockets and missiles.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">When he speaks on the subject of nuclear weapons, he talks about his determination that the United States remain dominant. As his security strategy\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">put it<\/a>, the nation must have \u201cthe world\u2019s most robust, credible, and modern nuclear deterrent.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">The \u201c<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.congress.gov\/bill\/119th-congress\/house-bill\/1\/text\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">One Big Beautiful Bill<\/a>\u201d \u2014 Mr. Trump\u2019s signature domestic legislation \u2014 includes the schedule for the Ohio submarine nuclear upgrades, saying the obligated funds should not be spent before March 1 \u2014 that is, a little more than three weeks after New START expires.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">To Trump administration officials, this planned increase in deployed weapons puts foes on notice that, if they attempt a nuclear strike, the retaliation could be larger than at any time in years. But there\u2019s a counterargument: America\u2019s deployment of new weapons, and the Golden Dome if it ever gets off the drawing board, could fuel an arms race in which spirals of moves and countermoves raise the global risk of nuclear miscalculation and war.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Monica Duffy Toft, director of the Center for Strategic Studies at Tufts University,\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/now.tufts.edu\/2026\/01\/29\/new-start-treaty-ending-what-does-mean-nuclear-risk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">noted<\/a>\u00a0recently that when one state tries to increase its security, \u201cothers often feel less secure and respond in ways that leave everyone worse off.\u201d Arms control agreements, she added, \u201cemerged precisely to dampen this dynamic.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"><\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-18\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p id=\"link-7dc0dbc0\" class=\"css-11zi5nh eoo0vm40\"><strong>The Response: How U.S. Rivals Seek to Counter Washington<\/strong><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_18269\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18269\" style=\"width: 2048px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-18269\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-09-tklg-superJumbo.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1380\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-09-tklg-superJumbo.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-09-tklg-superJumbo-300x202.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-09-tklg-superJumbo-1024x690.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-09-tklg-superJumbo-768x518.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/04dc-nukes-09-tklg-superJumbo-1536x1035.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18269\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">China displayed its nuclear-capable DF-5C missiles during a military parade in Beijing last year. Credit Kevin Frayer\/Getty Images<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-19\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">When New START was negotiated, it covered only traditional \u201cstrategic\u201d weapons, which can be delivered to targets on the other side of the world by bombers, submarines and ground-launched missiles. And it had only two signatories, the United States and Russia. China was considered such a small player, with less than 200 weapons, that it was barely discussed as the treaty was debated in the Senate.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Today, the world looks very different. Russia is experimenting \u2014 and claims to be preparing to deploy \u2014 what experts call new kinds of \u201csuperweapons\u201d that Mr. Putin began to announce in 2018, during Mr. Trump\u2019s first term.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">In October, he\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/10\/29\/world\/europe\/russia-missile-poseidon-putin-nuclear-tests.html\">announced<\/a>\u00a0a successful test of the Poseidon, an underwater drone meant to cross an ocean, detonate a thermonuclear warhead and raise a radioactive tsunami powerful enough to shatter a coastal city.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">\u201cThere is nothing like this in the world,\u201d Mr. Putin said, adding that no interception was possible. Pentagon analysts\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20220808223053\/https:\/odin.tradoc.army.mil\/mediawiki\/index.php\/Poseidon_Class_(Kanyon_Class)_Russian_Unmanned_Underwater_Vehicle\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">say<\/a>\u00a0Poseidon\u2019s small nuclear reactor gives it a range of 6,000 miles and a speed of more than 60 miles per hour \u2014 much faster than any submarine.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"><\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-20\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">For years, many experts dismissed Mr. Putin\u2019s boasts about the Poseidon as bluster. But now the weapon <a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/thebulletin.org\/premium\/2022-02\/nuclear-notebook-how-many-nuclear-weapons-does-russia-have-in-2022\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">appears to be real<\/a>\u00a0\u2014 as do his test launches to prepare for placing a nuclear weapon in space, a plan the Biden administration\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/02\/14\/us\/politics\/intelligence-russia-nuclear.html\">quietly warned Congress about two years ago.<\/a>\u00a0Both weapons could serve the same purpose: to defeat Mr. Trump\u2019s Golden Dome.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Other concerns about Russia center on Mr. Putin\u2019s repeated threats to use nuclear arms in Ukraine, eroding the taboo against wielding a nuclear weapon in a nonnuclear conflict. The most urgent fears arose in October 2022, when the Biden administration picked up intelligence that preparations for such a strike were underway. Emerging accounts of those events suggest it was a much closer call than officials acknowledged at the time.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">China is also developing novel arms. In 2021, it fired a hypersonic missile into orbit that circled the globe \u2014 and flew over the continental United States \u2014 before deploying a maneuverable glide vehicle that could deliver a nuclear weapon anywhere on earth. Gen. Mark A. Milley, then the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff,\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2021\/10\/27\/us\/politics\/china-hypersonic-missile.html\">called<\/a>\u00a0the test \u201cvery close\u201d to a \u201cSputnik moment\u201d for the United States.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">But for the time being it is the speed with which China\u2019s conventional nuclear forces are growing that has seized the attention of Washington. A December report by the Pentagon stressed not only the increase in long-range weapons that could reach the United States but \u201chighly precise theater weapons\u201d that might be employed in a conflict over Taiwan \u2014 largely to keep the United States away.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">Every effort by the Trump administration to engage China in some kind of discussion of its nuclear capabilities has been shut down by the Chinese, much as they refused to discuss the topic with Biden administration officials.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"><\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-21\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">That leaves the United States with a choice: It can push ahead with larger arsenals and new, specialized weapons to keep pace with Beijing and Moscow, or negotiate a broader deal of the kind Mr. Trump talked about last month.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">To give such talks a chance, \u201cTrump should agree with Putin on a \u2018strategic pause\u2019 \u2014 and possibly extend it to two or three years,\u201d Matthew Bunn of Harvard\u2019s Belfer Center\u00a0<a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/opinion\/national-security\/5710718-new-start-treaty-expiration\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">wrote recently<\/a>. \u201cHe should also push Putin to include inspections.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">There is no evidence that will happen. Instead, strategists see a looming surge in moves and countermoves around the globe that could spark a crisis.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\"><a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/05\/19\/science\/richard-garwin-hydrogen-bomb.html\">Richard L. Garwin<\/a>, a nuclear expert who advised 13 presidents, concisely described the danger shortly before he died last year at age 97.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-ac37hb evys1bk0\">\u201cIt\u2019s the number of nuclear weapons,\u201d he said in an interview. \u201cThe threat is when you have so many.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>Fuente:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/02\/05\/us\/politics\/new-start-nuclear-arms-control.html?campaign_id=42&amp;emc=edit_bn_20260209&amp;instance_id=170802&amp;nl=el-times&amp;regi_id=107834980&amp;segment_id=214998&amp;user_id=85e6b5ad0e9b133f91b327926ad86245\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>https:\/\/www.nytimes.com<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El art\u00edculo del New York Times analiza las consecuencias de la finalizaci\u00f3n el 05Feb26 del\u00a0tratado New START, \u00faltimo acuerdo para el Control de Armas Nucleares&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18261,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[18,28,24],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18260"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=18260"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18260\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18270,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18260\/revisions\/18270"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/18261"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=18260"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=18260"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fie.undef.edu.ar\/ceptm\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=18260"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}