Informe CSIS «Un mundo en división», pronóstico sobre conflictos armados 2024

Un mundo en división examina los conflictos que se desarrollan en dos escenarios: Ucrania y Oriente Medio. Dos años después de la invasión rusa de Ucrania, los académicos del CSIS analizan las perspectivas del campo de batalla, si se mantendrá el apoyo occidental a Ucrania. Al mismo tiempo, los expertos pronostican las posibles consecuencias a largo plazo del conflicto entre Israel y Hamas para la geopolítica y la seguridad de Medio Oriente, así como para la economía regional.


The last two years have witnessed significant global developments that brought geopolitics back to center stage and exacerbated global divisions. The CSIS 2024 Global Forecast—A World Dividing—offers insights from dozens of CSIS scholars on the most urgent questions for the year ahead around security, technology, geoeconomics, alliances, and regional influence.

This third installment of A World Dividing examines conflicts raging in two theaters: Ukraine and the Middle East. Two years into Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, CSIS scholars analyze the battlefield outlook, whether Western support for Ukraine will hold, and how to begin rebuilding the Ukrainian economy. At the same time, experts forecast the possible long-term consequences of the Israel-Hamas conflict for Middle East geopolitics and security, as well as the regional economy.

This volume follows the first two installments of A World Dividing, which explore the myriad issues facing U.S.-China competition in 2024 and the rapidly shifting contours of global economic and technology competition. The issues examined in the next installment are of equal importance, with expert insights on the defining factors in the battle for influence in the Global South.

We invite you to explore the diverse perspectives shared in our 2024 Global Forecast to deepen your thinking on these key issues.

Descargar archivo pdfFuente: https://features.csis.org