El programa de armas de destrucción masiva de SIPRI elaboró un nuevo informe. La guerra contemporánea se caracteriza por operaciones militares que abarcan múltiples escenarios -desde el aire, la tierra y el mar hasta los cada vez más prominentes dominios del ciberespacio, el espacio exterior y la información- y se caracteriza por la convergencia de capacidades tecnológicas avanzadas. Los nuevos vectores de vulnerabilidad derivados de esto y de la creciente interacción entre capacidades nucleares y no nucleares aumentan el riesgo de escalada e introducen nuevas vías potenciales para el uso de armas nucleares.
Contemporary warfare is characterized by military operations that encompass multiple arenas—from air, land and sea to the increasingly prominent cyber, outer space and information domains—and feature the convergence of advanced technological capabilities. New vectors of vulnerability stemming from this and from increasing interactions between nuclear and non-nuclear capabilities raise the spectre of escalation and introduce new potential pathways for nuclear weapon use.
These new risks have not been thoroughly explored in national policies or multilateral forums. Effectively addressing multidomain escalation risk requires that nuclear-armed states revisit the concept of ‘strategic stability’ and systematically map multidomain escalation scenarios while engaging non-nuclear-armed states and other stakeholders. The toolkit for avoiding and managing crisis also needs to be updated to reflect multidomain risk scenarios. These and other pragmatic steps can help prevent escalation pathways from coming into fruition. A longer-term approach is required to reverse both arms racing trends and current thinking regarding strategic capabilities.
Fuente: https://www.sipri.org
